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Hedging With Futures in India

TRADING STRATEGY

Hedging means taking a position that loses when your existing holdings lose less, or the reverse. It is not a way to make money and anybody presenting it that way has misunderstood it.

It is insurance, and like insurance it has a cost, a coverage limit, and situations where buying it is simply not worth the premium.

What a hedge does and does not do

If you hold a set of shares and short an index futures contract against them, you have roughly the following arrangement: when the market falls, your holdings lose and the short position gains, offsetting some of it. When the market rises, your holdings gain and the short loses, giving some of it back.

That symmetry is the whole point and it is what people forget. A hedge does not protect the downside while leaving the upside intact. It reduces both.

What it protects against is market risk — the part of your holdings' movement that comes from the whole market moving. It does nothing about company-specific risk. If the market is flat and one of your companies announces something bad, the index hedge does not help at all, because the index did not move.

So an index hedge is precise about what it covers: broad market falls, and only in proportion to how much your holdings actually track the index.

The calculation, with beta

The naive approach is to short futures equal to the value of your holdings. That over-hedges or under-hedges depending on what you hold, because not everything moves with the index one for one.

Beta is how much a stock tends to move for a given index move. A beta of 1.3 means the stock has historically moved about thirty percent more than the index in both directions.

The hedge size is your holdings value multiplied by their weighted average beta, divided by the value of one futures contract.

A worked example. Holdings worth 12,00,000 with a weighted average beta of 1.2. Your effective index exposure is 12,00,000 times 1.2, which is 14,40,000. If one index futures contract represents about 12,00,000 of value, you would short roughly 1.2 contracts — and since contracts are indivisible, you round to one and accept a partial hedge.

That rounding problem is real for retail-sized holdings. Below the value of a single contract you cannot hedge with futures at all, and options are the alternative.

Beta is also historical, not a guarantee. It changes, and it tends to change most during exactly the market conditions you were hedging against.

What it actually costs

Four costs, and only the first is obvious.

The upside you give up. The largest cost by far and the one nobody prices. If you hedge for three months and the market rises fifteen percent, the hedge has cost you most of that gain. Over a long horizon a permanently hedged holding significantly underperforms an unhedged one, because markets rise more often than they fall.

Margin blocked. A short futures position requires margin, and that capital is unavailable for anything else while the hedge is on.

Mark to market. A futures position settles daily. If the market rises, you fund losses on the hedge in cash each day even though your holdings have gained on paper. People are caught out by this — the hedge is working exactly as designed and you still need liquid funds.

Transaction costs and rollover. Futures expire. A hedge held for six months means rolling the position several times, paying costs each time.

When hedging is the right answer, and when it is not

Reasonable cases. You hold a concentrated position you cannot sell — an ESOP within its lock-in, a promoter holding, something with a tax event that makes selling expensive right now. You have a large holding and a known event is approaching. Or you need to preserve a specific amount for a specific date that is close.

Poor cases. You are nervous about the market generally — that is a signal your position size is wrong, and reducing it is cheaper and simpler than hedging it. You expect a fall and want to profit from it, which is a directional bet rather than a hedge and should be sized as one. Or your holdings are small enough that one contract over-hedges you by a wide margin.

Almost always wrong: hedging permanently. If you are always hedged you have paid for insurance on every quiet year, and the arithmetic over a decade is bleak. Hedges are for identified periods with an identified reason.

The unglamorous alternative deserves stating: selling some of the holding achieves much of the same thing, costs less, requires no margin, and needs no rollover. Hedging makes sense when selling is genuinely unavailable or genuinely expensive, and considerably less often otherwise.

Options as the alternative, briefly

Buying a put option is the other way to hedge, and the trade-off is clean.

A futures hedge removes the downside and the upside together, and costs margin rather than premium. A put option caps the downside while leaving the upside intact, and costs a premium you pay up front and lose if nothing happens.

Futures suit a full hedge for a defined period where you are content to give up the upside too. A put suits keeping the upside and paying for the privilege, and it works for smaller holdings where a futures contract would over-hedge.

Two practical notes. A put's cost rises sharply when everybody wants protection, so hedging after a fall has begun is expensive. And index options are cash settled while stock options are physically settled, which matters if the position runs to expiry.

Both routes need a derivatives-enabled account, which also supplies the beta and margin figures the calculation depends on.

Margin figures from your broker

Hedging needs F&O activation

The contract value and margin requirement both come from there. Account free to open

Futures mechanics, margin and hedging structures are covered in our Futures & Options Mastery course at Rs 10,000 — ten modules, one payment, permanent access, free demo on WhatsApp first.

We sell no tips and no signal group, we manage nobody's money, and we promise no returns. Nothing here recommends any position. Derivatives carry a real risk of loss.

Disclosure: the account-opening link on this page is under Atul Shrivastava's Zerodha Authorised Person registration (NSE AP Reg: AP2516003481; Zerodha Broking Ltd. SEBI Reg: INZ000031633) and earns a revenue share. TheFinBaba is not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser — this content is educational, not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I hedge my holdings with index futures?

Multiply your holdings value by their weighted average beta to get effective index exposure, then divide by the value of one futures contract. Since contracts are indivisible you round, which means retail-sized holdings often cannot be hedged precisely.

Does hedging protect my downside while keeping the upside?

No, not with futures. The short position gains when the market falls and loses when it rises, so it reduces both. A bought put option is the structure that caps the downside while leaving the upside, and it costs a premium instead.

What does hedging actually cost?

The upside you give up, which is the largest cost and the one nobody prices. Plus margin blocked, daily mark-to-market that must be funded in cash, and transaction costs each time the contract is rolled.

When should I not hedge?

When you are simply nervous - that means the position size is wrong and reducing it is cheaper. When you want to profit from a fall, which is a directional bet not a hedge. And permanently, because you would be paying for insurance through every quiet year.

Is selling part of my holding better than hedging?

Often, yes. Selling achieves much of the same thing, costs less, needs no margin and requires no rollover. Hedging makes sense when selling is genuinely unavailable, such as an ESOP in lock-in, or genuinely expensive because of a tax event.

Disclaimer: TheFinBaba provides educational content only - this is not investment advice. Trading involves risk of loss.

Atul Shrivastava
Written by

Atul Shrivastava

Founder & Lead Trainer, TheFinBaba

16+ years in the markets. 8+ years teaching Python algo trading.

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Disclaimer: TheFinBaba provides educational content only. Nothing in this article is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading in financial markets carries risk of loss — make every decision based on your own research and risk capacity.

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